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Russia's Hidden War Debt (full report)
Moscow has been discreetly funding heavy war costs with risky, off-budget debt. But the scheme has caused major problems—with more likely to…
Feb 14
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Craig Kennedy
56
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Russia's Hidden War Debt (full report)
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January 2025
Russia’s Hidden War Debt
Moscow has been stealthily funding much of its war costs with risky, off-budget financing overlooked by the West. That funding is now under pressure…
Jan 11
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Craig Kennedy
183
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Russia’s Hidden War Debt
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December 2024
Making the Baltic a "Shadow-Free" Zone (Brookings Paper)
A proposal to reduce Moscow's shadow fleet operations in European waters by pressuring vessels to comply with international insurance standards (May…
Dec 17, 2024
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Craig Kennedy
7
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Making the Baltic a "Shadow-Free" Zone (Brookings Paper)
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April 2024
The Shadow Fleet in Crisis (highlights from an upcoming report)
Beset by mixed economics and perilous sanctions, shadow fleet growth has stalled. OFAC is well positioned to downsize the fleet and undercut Moscow’s…
Apr 8, 2024
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Craig Kennedy
21
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The Shadow Fleet in Crisis (highlights from an upcoming report)
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January 2024
The De-Kastri Mystery
Why has half a billion dollars of Sakhalin oil been turned away from India? And what does it portend for Russia’s shadow trade?
Jan 15, 2024
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Craig Kennedy
14
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The De-Kastri Mystery
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December 2023
Dangerous Waters
How far will OFAC go in sanctioning Russia's shadow trade?
Dec 13, 2023
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Craig Kennedy
10
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Dangerous Waters
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August 2023
Measuring the Shadows
Moscow’s Strategies for Evading Oil Sanctions and How to Stop them from Succeeding
Aug 23, 2023
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Craig Kennedy
8
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Measuring the Shadows
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October 2022
Putin’s Looming Tanker Crisis
Will a Kremlin-Engineered Oil Shock be the Next Move in Moscow’s Expanding Energy War?
Oct 19, 2022
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Craig Kennedy
20
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Putin’s Looming Tanker Crisis
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April 2022
Putin's Dilemma (essay in Politico)
What to Do if the West Stops Buying Russian Oil?
Apr 27, 2022
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Craig Kennedy
5
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Putin's Dilemma (essay in Politico)
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Russian Oil's Achilles Heel
How to Enhance the Impact of Oil Sanctions (Working Draft)
Apr 8, 2022
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Craig Kennedy
10
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Russian Oil's Achilles Heel
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March 2022
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Mar 3, 2022
1
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